Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 5:00 PM, 371 voters in 42 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 249,012 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 224,895 - 280,892). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: The above mail counts are copied from the state data. There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in that data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 5:00 PM 3718 c(2.5% = 3430) c(97.5% = 4180)
02 5:00 PM 5637 c(2.5% = 5207) c(97.5% = 6610)
03 5:00 PM 3227 c(2.5% = 2808) c(97.5% = 3515)
04 5:00 PM 3191 c(2.5% = 2789) c(97.5% = 3499)
05 5:00 PM 8276 c(2.5% = 7695) c(97.5% = 9474)
06 5:00 PM 2149 c(2.5% = 1906) c(97.5% = 2406)
07 5:00 PM 2075 c(2.5% = 1390) c(97.5% = 2547)
08 5:00 PM 7655 c(2.5% = 7254) c(97.5% = 8548)
09 5:00 PM 3607 c(2.5% = 3283) c(97.5% = 4294)
10 5:00 PM 4636 c(2.5% = 4000) c(97.5% = 5359)
11 5:00 PM 2033 c(2.5% = 1741) c(97.5% = 2200)
12 5:00 PM 3491 c(2.5% = 3040) c(97.5% = 3811)
13 5:00 PM 3150 c(2.5% = 2725) c(97.5% = 3406)
14 5:00 PM 1380 c(2.5% = 1229) c(97.5% = 1548)
15 5:00 PM 3935 c(2.5% = 3635) c(97.5% = 4545)
16 5:00 PM 1700 c(2.5% = 1430) c(97.5% = 1872)
17 5:00 PM 3886 c(2.5% = 3413) c(97.5% = 4233)
18 5:00 PM 3646 c(2.5% = 3255) c(97.5% = 4100)
19 5:00 PM 1647 c(2.5% = 1232) c(97.5% = 1872)
20 5:00 PM 1546 c(2.5% = 1257) c(97.5% = 1845)
21 5:00 PM 9032 c(2.5% = 8183) c(97.5% = 10325)
22 5:00 PM 4964 c(2.5% = 4429) c(97.5% = 5979)
23 5:00 PM 2965 c(2.5% = 2544) c(97.5% = 3366)
24 5:00 PM 2422 c(2.5% = 2110) c(97.5% = 2856)
25 5:00 PM 2406 c(2.5% = 1975) c(97.5% = 2867)
26 5:00 PM 3506 c(2.5% = 3126) c(97.5% = 3864)
27 5:00 PM 4096 c(2.5% = 3160) c(97.5% = 5857)
28 5:00 PM 1811 c(2.5% = 1535) c(97.5% = 1971)
29 5:00 PM 1816 c(2.5% = 1639) c(97.5% = 1996)
30 5:00 PM 3501 c(2.5% = 3255) c(97.5% = 4070)
31 5:00 PM 3094 c(2.5% = 2726) c(97.5% = 3446)
32 5:00 PM 2983 c(2.5% = 2522) c(97.5% = 3338)
33 5:00 PM 2442 c(2.5% = 1715) c(97.5% = 3035)
34 5:00 PM 6611 c(2.5% = 5914) c(97.5% = 7338)
35 5:00 PM 4452 c(2.5% = 3748) c(97.5% = 5134)
36 5:00 PM 5500 c(2.5% = 5009) c(97.5% = 6039)
37 5:00 PM 1994 c(2.5% = 1659) c(97.5% = 2245)
38 5:00 PM 3308 c(2.5% = 3038) c(97.5% = 3735)
39 5:00 PM 6896 c(2.5% = 6245) c(97.5% = 7554)
40 5:00 PM 6858 c(2.5% = 6001) c(97.5% = 7632)
41 5:00 PM 2746 c(2.5% = 2237) c(97.5% = 3183)
42 5:00 PM 3460 c(2.5% = 2743) c(97.5% = 4025)
43 5:00 PM 2667 c(2.5% = 2109) c(97.5% = 3114)
44 5:00 PM 2146 c(2.5% = 1882) c(97.5% = 2360)
45 5:00 PM 3045 c(2.5% = 2562) c(97.5% = 3575)
46 5:00 PM 3819 c(2.5% = 3609) c(97.5% = 4563)
47 5:00 PM 1317 c(2.5% = 1163) c(97.5% = 1465)
48 5:00 PM 3038 c(2.5% = 2680) c(97.5% = 3423)
49 5:00 PM 3881 c(2.5% = 3462) c(97.5% = 4319)
50 5:00 PM 5449 c(2.5% = 4741) c(97.5% = 6723)
51 5:00 PM 3459 c(2.5% = 3038) c(97.5% = 3766)
52 5:00 PM 4319 c(2.5% = 3842) c(97.5% = 5061)
53 5:00 PM 3030 c(2.5% = 2542) c(97.5% = 3505)
54 5:00 PM 2182 c(2.5% = 1665) c(97.5% = 2645)
55 5:00 PM 3547 c(2.5% = 2876) c(97.5% = 4098)
56 5:00 PM 5210 c(2.5% = 4441) c(97.5% = 5906)
57 5:00 PM 4479 c(2.5% = 3959) c(97.5% = 5107)
58 5:00 PM 7598 c(2.5% = 6453) c(97.5% = 8634)
59 5:00 PM 3748 c(2.5% = 3304) c(97.5% = 4141)
60 5:00 PM 3044 c(2.5% = 2714) c(97.5% = 3313)
61 5:00 PM 4503 c(2.5% = 3859) c(97.5% = 5111)
62 5:00 PM 3275 c(2.5% = 2614) c(97.5% = 3854)
63 5:00 PM 4263 c(2.5% = 3832) c(97.5% = 4788)
64 5:00 PM 2428 c(2.5% = 2028) c(97.5% = 2797)
65 5:00 PM 3705 c(2.5% = 3134) c(97.5% = 4073)
66 5:00 PM 7411 c(2.5% = 6588) c(97.5% = 8390)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1
12:38 PM 1716 80
11:00 AM 6522 121
12:38 PM 0528 208
12:38 PM 0528 208
11:00 AM 0120 127
12:23 PM 6008 80
7:40 AM 6509 22
8:00 AM 4618 32
12:50 PM 0525 121
12:02 PM 0831 123
12:30 PM 3007 161
12:30 PM 5217 120
12:55 PM 4002 146
7:25 AM 0532 35
12:40 PM 0529 58
1:04 PM 1902 128
1:05 PM 1903 72
1:05 PM 1904 81
1:02 PM 2702 100
1:12 PM 0834 113
8:20 AM 0810 66
12:29 PM 3113 151
1:00 PM 3609 112
7:01 AM 2122 20
1:20 PM 1514 117
1:25 PM 3006 141
1:30 PM 3914 175
1:29 PM 4320 120
1:30 PM 0517 194
11:10 AM 3105 1
1:30 PM 2701 119
7:45 AM 4616 34
9:15 AM 4125 74
1:43 PM 1717 115
1:43 PM 0537 130
1:45 PM 0817 166
8:30 AM 2605 76
1:43 PM 0501 133
1:45 PM 0818 88
1:43 PM 1717 115
10:40 AM 1510 121
1:45 PM 1810 188
1:48 PM 3943 160
1:51 PM 3637 170
1:52 PM 3638 137
1:45 PM 1817 238
2:00 PM 3103 194
9:00 AM 2719 1
2:05 PM 4701 166
1:45 PM 2911 109
8:00 AM 0510 63
10:30 AM 3942 90
8:00 AM 4616 49
2:25 PM 6414 114
2:27 PM 0834 124
2:28 PM 1810 216
2:28 PM 1503 202
2:30 PM 1802 139
2:30 PM 2706 220
2:30 PM 1801 204
11:00 AM 0914 46
2:36 PM 1514 125
2:15 PM 3909 158
2:37 PM 4616 153
1:50 PM 3002 131
7:05 AM 2622 6
2:47 PM 2133 268
8:02 AM 0815 48
11:45 AM 1817 193
12:35 PM 3634 92
7:40 AM 3602 16
2:59 PM 0532 215
2:59 PM 0517 210
9:30 AM 1508 100
2:00 PM 0813 128
3:10 PM 0537 135
3:10 PM 0501 140
3:11 PM 0505 173
2:00 PM 2314 177
3:11 PM 0505 173
2:50 PM 4617 154
10:00 AM 0537 50
3:20 PM 6008 102
10:10 AM 4623 72
3:20 PM 6012 143
8:00 AM 3636 75
3:21 PM 6023 141
8:15 AM 6324 27
3:22 PM 6002 164
3:22 PM 1509 154
3:23 PM 6001 98
3:06 PM 0831 156
3:28 PM 3943 179
8:22 AM 3104 82
8:47 AM 4042 73
3:35 PM 3637 190
3:35 PM 3637 160
3:00 PM 0213 65
3:34 PM 3111 202
10:45 AM 0807 115
3:54 PM 0525 148
10:45 AM 0807 115
8:00 AM 4616 53
4:00 PM 3714 215
3:57 PM 4618 86
3:58 PM 4608 130
4:00 PM 4701 192
9:14 AM 0912 90
4:05 PM 0818 102
4:05 PM 0817 187
2:00 PM 0101 149
4:11 PM 3914 207
2:00 PM 0102 160
2:00 PM 0103 188
4:00 PM 6507 460
4:20 PM 1716 103
11:00 AM 3006 125
4:00 PM 3935 208
7:15 AM 2714 100
4:00 PM 3925 215
3:45 PM 5823 393
4:25 PM 3943 196
4:15 PM 1816 264
4:15 PM 1817 292
4:27 PM 2714 126
4:27 PM 2723 153
4:15 PM 0525 151
4:30 PM 0834 133
8:00 AM 4202 41
4:30 PM 5224 177
4:38 PM 2209 144
4:39 PM 2214 178
4:47 PM 4702 116
4:45 PM 4701 198
1:30 PM 5622 138
4:32 PM 0526 238
12:30 PM 2408 128
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 0807 115
4:56 PM 2911 133
5:00 PM 1805 249
5:00 PM 3434 151
5:00 PM 1806 233
5:00 PM 1812 237
5:00 PM 1819 203

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions